SHALLOW GRAVELLY FAN 12-14 P.Z.
Scenario model
Current ecosystem state
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Management practices/drivers
Select a transition or restoration pathway
- Transition T1A More details
- Transition T2A More details
- Transition T2B More details
- Transition T3A More details
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No transition or restoration pathway between the selected states has been described
Target ecosystem state
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Description
The reference state is representative of the natural range of variability under naturally stable, pre-European settlement conditions. Vegetation is dominated by black sagebrush, Stansbury cliffrose, desert ceanothus and muttongrass with scattered perennial forbs. Primary natural disturbances affecting this ecological site include periodic wildfire, insect attack, disease and drought. Community phases are dynamic in response to changes in disturbance regimes and weather patterns.
Submodel
Description
The invaded state is characterized by the presence of non-native species. Compositionally, State 2 is similar to the reference state with a trace of non-native species in the understory. However, ecological resilience is reduced by the presence of non-natives, making it more difficult for this state to recover following disturbance. Low frequency, low intensity disturbances maintains the grass, shrub-grass and shrub community phases. However, non-natives are favored if disturbance regimes vary from the range of historic variation. Black sagebrush is characterized by a pronounced delay in establishment following disturbance. Therefore, frequent, repeated fire fueled by non-native species can eliminate black sagebrush from a site.
Submodel
Description
The Tree State is characterized by an over dominance of shrubs and reduced perennial herbaceous understory. Traces of deep-rooted perennial bunchgrasses remain in the community. Non-native annual grasses and forbs are abundant in the understory. A biotic threshold has been crossed with the loss of the deep-rooted perennial bunchgrasses, reducing ecological resilience of the site. The loss of structural and functional groups (deep-rooted perennial bunchgrasses and shrub seedlings), result in decreased herbaceous production, soil moisture and organic matter inputs. Changes in infiltration and runoff rates contribute to reduced soil moisture availability thereby reducing reproductive potential and recruitment of native species.
Submodel
Description
The tree state is characterized by infilling of pinyon and juniper, with tree cover greater than 20 percent. Lack of natural disturbances including fire, disease or insect attack allows pinyon and juniper to increase in cover, dominate and change site dynamics. Understory vegetation is reduced through shading, duff accumulation and competition for water and nutrients. Feedbacks contributing to the stability of this alternative state include, reduced infiltration resulting from reduced vegetative cover, lower soil moisture preventing the establishment of vegetation, as well as, the density, the rate of spread and dominance of trees all contributing to an abiotic threshold being crossed. The ability of a site to capture, transport and store water is directly related to vegetative cover. Prolonged drought results in an overall decline of the plant community and reduced annual growth of pinyon and juniper.
Submodel
Mechanism
Trigger: Introduction of non-native species.
Slow variables: Surface disturbances, changes in the kinds of animals and their grazing patterns, drought and/or changes in fire history that altered the recruitment rates of native species.
Threshold: Non-native invasive species cannot be easily removed from the system and have the potential to significantly alter disturbance regimes from their historic range of variation. Changes in the herbaceous understory, associated with the introduction of non-native annuals, reduce ecological resistance and resilience following a disturbance.
Mechanism
Trigger: Chronic inadequate rest and recovery from defoliation and/or prolonged drought.
Slow variables: Changes in historic wildfire patterns and frequency. Repeated, heavy growing season grazing changes natural recruitment and recovery rates of perennial herbaceous species.
Threshold: Reduction of deep and shallow-rooted perennial bunchgrasses and increased bare ground/interspaces changes soil hydrology, decreasing infiltration and increasing runoff.
Mechanism
Trigger: Infiling by pinyon and juniper. Possibly coupled with chronic inadequate rest and recovery from defoliation and/or prolonged drought.
Slow variables: Changes in historic wildfire patterns and frequency, as well ass, natural recruitment of native species over time.
Threshold: Reduction of understory (deep-rooted perennial bunchgrass and woody perennials) and increased bare ground changed soil hydrology, including infiltration and runoff.
Model keys
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The Ecosystem Dynamics Interpretive Tool is an information system framework developed by the USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range, USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service, and New Mexico State University.